Stay up-to-date with who is ahead in the polls in each country and on what Europe thinks and why. Do you have a favourable or unfavourable view of Alex Salmond? How likely would you be to vote in Scottish Parliament elections on a scale of 0 to 10? (asked since 2019 General Election), How would you vote in a Scottish independence referendum if held now? If the SNP do not win a majority in the upcoming Scottish Parliament elections but a majority of the candidates elected support holding a referendum on Scottish independence, do you think there should be a referendum in the next two years, two to five years’, at some point in the future, but not in the next five years or never? DC Thomson poll by Survation, 30 April 2021 - 4 May 2021, Self-Funded or Unknown poll by ComRes, 29 April 2021 - 4 May 2021, Scotsman poll by ComRes, 30 April 2021 - 4 May 2021, The Times poll by YouGov, 2 May 2021 - 4 May 2021, STV poll by Ipsos Mori, 30 April 2021 - 3 May 2021, Sky News poll by Opinium, 28 April 2021 - 3 May 2021, The Sunday Times poll by Panelbase, 28 April 2021 - 30 April 2021, The Observer poll by Opinium, 28 April 2021 - 30 April 2021, Sunday Herald poll by BMG Research, 27 April 2021 - 30 April 2021. Generally speaking, do you think the SNP are currently united or divided? Non-partisan information on UK attitudes to the EU before and since the EU Referendum. Past polls have tended to suggest that, although Scotland is cooler towards the royals than other parts of the UK, there was still a significant pro-monarchy majority. Fieldwork dates: 28 April 2021 - 3 May 2021 Data from: Scotland Notes: Pollster: Opinium Funder: Sky News Mode: Online Panel Sample size: 1015 Age: 16 and older. Mr Salmond, Ms Sturgeon, both or neither? Download / access source data. In yesterday’s Ipsos MORI coverage, I said that there was a new poll due out today. Keep tabs on all the latest polling, articles and information ahead of the 2021 Scottish Parliament election in the Ballot Box Scotland Holyrood Hub! Results of such polls are displayed in this list. It leaves 43 per cent who said they would choose to leave the union, when those who didn’t know how they would vote were excluded. Explore the What UK Thinks website. The day voters in Scotland go to the polls is edging ever-closer. Non-partisan information on attitudes to how Scotland and the UK should be governed, Results from 17 polls, conducted from 7 May 1999 to 18 March 2020, Results from 16 polls, conducted from 7 May 1999 to 18 March 2020, Results from 19 polls, conducted from 7 May 1999 to 18 March 2020. An opinion poll has found “widespread misunderstanding” of economic facts among Scottish voters and confusion over the SNP’s plans for independence, a pro-Union think-tank says. (five response categories collapsed to three). On Thursday 6 May, people in the country will cast their ballots to elect MSPs for the next five years. Scottish opinion polls (Westminster voting intention) since the December 2019 general election are listed here This would give the party an overall majority of five at Holyrood. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the way Ed Davey is handling his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats? No 49%. The exclusive Opinium poll of Scottish voters, taken this week, also reveals 51% of Scots would support independence - against 49% who say they would remain part of the United Kingdom. New polling from Opinium found 53 per cent would choose the SNP for a constituency MSP, up seven per cent from last month. No 49%. Questions asked on this Poll: Do you approve or disapprove of the Scottish Government’s handling of the coronavirus situation so far? On a scale of 0 to 10, how likely is it that you would vote in a General Election? A new voting intention opinion poll has found that Scottish Labour are now sitting second in the constituency vote ahead of the Holyrood election on May 6. Do you, or do you not, think Anas Sarwar is divisive. (2021 Scottish Parliament campaign period), How would you use your constituency vote in a Scottish Parliament election? Their prediction has the SNP’s constituency support at 51 per cent and regional list support at 41 per cent, which suggests 67 seats in total. Questions asked on this Poll: How would you vote in a Scottish independence referendum if held now? THE SNP are on track to secure a majority at the upcoming Scottish Parliament election, according to the latest research from Opinium. Scottish elections: Sturgeon's SNP set for majority but Salmond's Alba unlikely to get single seat - Sky News poll. Non-partisan information on UK attitudes to the EU before and since the EU Referendum. Generally speaking, do you think the Alba Party are currently united or divided? Perceptions of government & the Union; If the SNP do not win a majority in the upcoming Scottish Parliament elections and a majority of the candidates elected … The Opinium poll put Labour up four points compared with a week ago, on 37%, while the Tories had fallen two points to 42%. Opinium Funder: The Observer Mode: Online Panel Sample size: 2001 Age: 18 and older. Fieldwork dates: 1 April 2021 - 6 April 2021 Data from: Scotland Notes: Pollster: Opinium Funder: Sky News Mode: Online Panel Sample size: 1023 Age: 16 and older. Voters in Scotland have become less enthusiastic about holding a referendum on independence in the next five years, a new poll for Sky News has found. As our Scottish independence poll tracker shows, this election is expected to prove pivotal. Do you have a favourable or unfavourable view of Ruth Davidson? The poll sampled 1,015 Scottish voters between 28 April and 3 May. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the way Anas Sarwar is handling his job as leader of the Scottish Labour party? Scotland on a knife edge – the five findings from new Scotland Polling. While Labour will be … The Sky Poll found that voters were not keen on a coalition between the SNP and Alba, with 15% thinking it would be good for Scotland but 63% bad. Support for Scotland remaining in the United Kingdom has risen, according to the latest opinion poll on the matter. Keep tabs on all the latest polling, articles and information ahead of the 2021 Scottish Parliament election in the Ballot Box Scotland Holyrood Hub! Scotland predictions. About this poll. Panelbase surveyed 1,009 adults in Scotland between March 30 and April 1. (2021 Scottish Parliament campaign period), How would you be likely to use your regional vote in a Scottish Parliament election? Poll Analysis: Opinium 28th of April – 3rd of May 2021. Scotland Editor April 7, 2021 5:10 pm The SNP is on course to win a majority at Holyrood as the number of pro-independence MSPs rises dramatically, according to a poll … Scottish Independence. Asked about a coalition between the SNP and the Greens, 41% said they thought it would be good while 41% belived it would be bad. Do you think a Labour majority in May would be good or bad for Scotland? In the constituencies vote, the SNP is up +7 points since the last poll, with 53% of the vote share, while the Conservatives have 21% (-3) and Labour have 18% (-2). Questions asked on this Poll: And do you think Scotland should or should not become an independent country? To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the way Nicola Sturgeon is handling her job as First Minister? Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats are on 7% of the vote share. Poll Analysis: Opinium 1st – 6th of April 2021 Poll Analysis: Opinium 1st – 6th of April 2021 . The same polling carried out by Opinium also found that support for a second Scottish independence referendum remains divided at 50-50, once "don't … Opinion on an independent referendum is now split firmly down the middle 50/50 (down from 51 per cent for yes in Opinium’s previous poll). POLITICO Europe tracks polling data for every European election and country. Research by Opinium, commissioned by Sky News, found support for Nicola Sturgeon’s party was down slightly in both the constituency and regional list section of the ballot. About this poll. A Survation poll conducted in March 2021, commissioned by Scotland in Union, found that 57 per cent would vote for Scotland to remain part of the UK. About this poll. Although I was prepared for a busy few days, I’m really getting swept off my feet today. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the UK government’s record to date? The Opinium poll published today also found that Scotland remains divided on independence, with the pro-independence camp maintaining a slight lead. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. THE SNP are on track to secure a majority at the upcoming Scottish Parliament election, according to the latest research from Opinium. Download / access source data. Who do you think would make the best Prime Minister, Boris Johnson or Keir Starmer? A Survation poll conducted in March 2021, commissioned by Scotland in Union, found that 57 per cent would vote for Scotland to remain part of the UK. Opinium’s research picked up a … POLITICO Europe tracks polling data for every European election and country. From what you have seen or heard about the recent hearings from Alex Salmond and Nicola Sturgeon, who do you think is telling the truth? Keep tabs on all the latest polling, articles and information ahead of the 2021 Scottish Parliament election in the Ballot Box Scotland Holyrood Hub! Generally speaking, do you think the Conservatives are currently united or divided? We run a regular voting intention and political survey with the Observer as well as our own topical thought leadership and analysis of current events and social issues. Is the Scottish Parliament giving Scotland a stronger or weaker voice in the UK? Yes 51% . Do you think a coalition between the SNP and the Alba Party and the Greens in May would be good or bad for Scotland? Perceptions of government & the Union Policy issues. The polling firm puts the SNP’s constituency support at 51% and regional support at 41%, pointing towards 67 seats in total. If the SNP win a majority in the upcoming Scottish Parliament elections do you think there should be a referendum on Scottish Independence in the next two years, two to five years’, at some point in the future, but not in the next five years or never? In the run-up to the 2021 Senedd election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. This is higher than the support for staying in the … Do you think Alex Salmond mainly has Scotland’s or his own best interest at heart? Fieldwork dates: 11 March 2021 - 16 March 2021 Data from: Scotland Notes: Pollster: Opinium Funder: Sky News Mode: Online Panel Sample size: 1096 Age: 16 and older. Perhaps the most stunning finding of the poll is that respondents are split down the middle over whether an independent Scotland should become a republic or retain the monarchy. But aside from diligently towing the company line, what do the Opinium team think will actually happen? A new Opinium poll on the Scottish parliament elections projects that the SNP are on course for a majority come 6 May. A recent poll from Opinium and Sky News, conducted from April 1 … This is, as far as I’m aware, the first time they’ve done Scotland specific polling … However, the Sky News poll found that support for a referendum is now equally tied 50-50, once "don't knows" are excluded, down from 51-49 in the last Opinium poll. Constituency seats. May 4, 2021 Ballot Box Scotland Polling and Projections 0. It's arguably no longer really accurate to say that "the polls are broadly showing it's 50-50". So no change from the last Opinium poll - but across all firms, this is the seventh poll in a row to show Yes on 50% or higher, and the sixth out of seven to show an outright Yes lead of some description. (asked after the EU referendum) How Scotland should be … The party is polling … Opinion on an independent referendum is now split firmly down the middle 50/50 (down from 51 per cent for yes in Opinium’s previous poll). (asked since 2016 Scottish Parliament election), How would you use your constituency vote in a Scottish Parliament election? The Opinium survey puts the SNP’s constituency support at 51% and list backing at 41%, projecting a majority for the party with 67 seats in total. If the SNP do not win a majority in the upcoming Scottish Parliament elections but a majority of the candidates elected oppose holding a referendum on Scottish independence, do you think there should be a referendum in the next two years, two to five years’, at some point in the future, but not in the next five years or never? SKY News has been criticised over a graph showing the results from the latest Opinium poll on Scottish election voting intentions. Opinion polls conducted since the start of April show dwindling support for Scottish independence, Telegraph analysis shows. POLITICO Poll of Polls — British polls, trends and election news for the United Kingdom and Scotland. Scottish National Party (SNP) leader Nicola Sturgeon is on track to claim an overall majority win in the upcoming May 6 election. Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. POLITICO Poll of Polls — British polls, trends and election news for the United Kingdom and Scotland. Over the past month, an average of the polls … Do you think a Conservative majority in May would be good or bad for Scotland? Opinium’s latest polling reveals the SNP currently has a majority in the latest voting intention. Poll Analysis: Opinium 1st – 6th of April 2021 April 8, 2021 Ballot Box Scotland Polling and Projections 0 Keep tabs on all the latest polling, articles and information ahead of the 2021 Scottish Parliament election in the Ballot Box Scotland Holyrood Hub! On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election together with uniform swing calculations of the polling averages. How should Scotland be governed? Download / access source data. Opinium was the most accurate polling agency in the 2019 general election and accurately predicted the results of the 2016 EU referendum and the last two London Mayoral elections. The exclusive Opinium poll of Scottish voters, taken this week, also reveals 51% of Scots would support independence - against 49% who say they would remain part of the United Kingdom. Relevance is automatically assessed so some headlines not qualifying as Scottish Opinion Poll … But the wheels of fate don't stop turning for anyone - that little run is now over, courtesy of a new Opinium poll for Sky News. Latest polls The Sunday Times poll by Panelbase, 28 April 2021 - 30 April 2021 Sunday Herald poll by BMG Research, 27 April 2021 - 30 April 2021 Self-Funded or Unknown poll by ComRes, 23 April 2021 - 28 April 2021 Scotsman poll by ComRes, 23 April 2021 - 27 April 2021 Scot Goes Pop poll by Panelbase, 21 April 2021 - 26 April 2021 However, the Sky News poll found that support for a referendum is now equally tied 50-50, once "don't knows" are excluded, down from 51-49 in the last Opinium poll. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.. Do you think Nicola Sturgeon mainly has Scotland’s or his own best interest at heart? N.B. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. A second poll, this time by Opinium, also has the SNP heading for an overall majority after May 6. Do you think a coalition between the SNP and the Greens in May would be good or bad for Scotland? Do you approve or disapprove of the UK Government’s handling of the coronavirus situation so far? A new poll by Opinium found Nicola Sturgeon is on course to return as Scotland's first minister with a slim overall majority for the SNP. A new opinion poll has found 57 per cent of people would vote for Scotland to remain in the United Kingdom if there was a referendum tomorrow. (asked after the EU referendum), How would you be likely to use your regional vote in a Scottish Parliament election? NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about UK opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. > Opinium 3/5/2021. Tracking support for Scottish independence The latest voting intentions on the question of Scottish independence – share of … Do you think Nicola Sturgeon, Anas Sarwar, Douglas Ross or Alex Salmond would make the best First Minister? Scottish Independence. Do you think it is appropriate or inappropriate for Alex Salmond to be involved in public life? The Opinium polling for the Observer revealed 37 per cent of people across the UK think Boris Johnson is "corrupt", rising to 53% in Scotland. The 73 constituency seats cover a range of areas across Scotland, with several in each region. March 19, 2021 Ballot Box Scotland Polling and Projections 0. Polling conducted by Opinium revealed 53 percent of Scots would not want to rejoin the EU fully, in a blow to Nicola Sturgeon's plans for an independent Scotland. Sturgeon and the SNP further their popularity in Scotland, and would be likely to gain a majority at this stage. In Opinium’s final poll of the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, the SNP hold a commanding lead in the constituency voting intention, with 51% of the vote share. If the SNP win an overall majority on Thursday, the proportion who want a second independence … Opinion polls for the 73 Scottish parliament constituencies show the SNP narrowly ahead of their results at the last election in 2016. The Scottish Tories, according to the poll, are set to win 26 seats, down five from the last election, but will retain a tight hold on second place as Labour could drop to 17 seats – losing seven. A new poll by Opinium found Nicola Sturgeon is on course to return as Scotland's first minister with a slim overall majority for the SNP. The Conservatives were on … To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the way Douglas Ross is handling his job as leader of the Scottish Conservative party? It is unlikely there has ever been an election as consequential to the future of the UK as the upcoming Scottish Parliament Election, with the SNP promising to hold another referendum on Scottish Independence. Stay up-to-date with who is ahead in the polls in each country and on what Europe thinks and why. “BREAKING: New Scotland poll with @SkyNews In our final poll of the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, the SNP still hold a commanding lead in constituency voting intention” > Opinium 6/4/2021. Generally speaking, do you think the Labour Party are currently united or divided? SKY News has been criticised over a graph showing the results from the latest Opinium poll on Scottish election voting intentions. Do you have a favourable or unfavourable view of Douglas Ross? > Opinium 16/3/2021. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the way Boris Johnson is handling his job as Prime Minister? The latest Opinium London 2021 poll, which surveyed 1,005 London adults aged 18 or over, pitches Mr Khan as the winner of the first-round vote with 48 percent support. An Opinium poll for Sky News shows that support for Scotland's largest political party has weakened since the last poll they carried out in April. But the wheels of fate don't stop turning for anyone - that little run is now over, courtesy of a new Opinium poll for Sky News. Explore the What UK Thinks website. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the Scottish government’s record to date? The SNP, which has governed Scotland since 2007, is standing on the promise of a second referendum on independence following the UK's exit from the European Union and a surge in Yes support. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the way Keir Starmer is handling his job as Leader of the Labour Party? Do you think a coalition between the SNP and the Alba Party in May would be good or bad for Scotland? How would you be likely to vote in a UK General Election? The research, which involved an online survey of 1023 Scottish adults from April 1 to 6, found that 51% of Scots would vote Yes in indyref2, and 49% No. Do you have a favourable or unfavourable view of Anas Sarwar? Scottish election 2021: SNP majority hanging in the balance, polls suggest One of the surveys suggested Nicola Sturgeon’s party would fall narrowly short of a majority To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the way Alex Salmond is handling his job as leader of the Alba party? Many opinion polls were conducted about Scottish independence before the … The Opinium survey puts the SNP’s constituency support at 51% and list backing at 41%, projecting a majority for the party with 67 seats in total. Should Scotland be an independent country? Opinium, 11th – 16th of March 2021 Opinium, 11th – 16th of March 2021 . This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. Do you think a coalition between the Labour and Conservative Parties in May would be good or bad for Scotland? Yes 51% . Do you think a coalition between the SNP and the Labour Party in May would be good or bad for Scotland? [Hear more on the New Statesman podcast] (asked since 2016 Scottish Parliament election). Should Scotland be an independent country? If it wasn’t enough polling for us all to have had five polls from the five different agencies who have been doing Holyrood polling recently, we got an extra treat this week from new wean on the Scottish block, Opinium. Does the Scottish Parliament give ordinary people more or less say in how Scotland is governed? If the SNP win an … This is followed by the Conservatives on 23% of the vote share and Labour on 19%. Bad news for unionists in Westminster. In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. With the entire polling industry potentially having ostrich sized egg on its face on September 19th here are some predictions to add a little more potential embarrassment once final results are in. Opinion poll shows 57 per cent would vote to remain in the UK. Do you have a favourable or an unfavourable opinion of Nicola Sturgeon? Questions asked on this Poll: Generally speaking, do you think the rest of the UK has been easing lockdown rules too fast, too slow, or at about the right … Non-partisan information on attitudes to how Scotland and the UK should be governed. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Our tracker on Scottish public opinion shows that since the middle of 2020, a consistent majority of Scots with an opinion have backed independence. Do you approve or disapprove of the Scottish Government’s handling of the coronavirus situation so far? The seat calculations are from the 2021 Scottish Parliament swingometer. Questions asked on this Poll: Do you approve or disapprove of the Scottish Government’s handling of the coronavirus situation so far? 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